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June 2008 Newsletter![]() June 10, 2008
CITRIS researchers are developing engines that use 15 percent less fuel than gas engines and emit only 30 percent of the NOx of a typical diesel engine. Thus, they appear to combine the best of both engines. Except for one problem: temperature variations.
Within 15 years, solar power could produce as much as 15 percent of all the energy consumed in California. However, given our current inability to predict reliably the amount of direct solar irradiance available to the state’s energy grid at least a day or two in advance, utility companies cannot risk relying on this highly productive source. CITRIS researchers are working to solve that problem.
Can CITRIS reduce the costs of fuel to consumers? The two articles in this month's newsletter suggest we just might. Certainly the first story, about smart, HCCI-engine-driven cars, presents an exciting opportunity to improve radically the MPG readings for a standard automobile. And finding a way to exploit the vast potential of solar energy in this bright state could boost the supply of clean domestic energy enough to stabilize or even reduce the cost of power to consumers. For decades, the mechanical engineering faculty at UC Berkeley has worked on understanding and improving combustion engine efficiency. The first article in this issue of the newsletter describes the science behind homogeneous charge compression ignited (HCCI) engines, in which the goal is to make the most of every drop of fuel injected into a cylinder. But this story is also about efforts of Professor Robert Dibble and his colleagues to use innovative sensor technologies to coordinate the firing of cylinders even as loads and temperatures in HCCI engines change. Frustratingly, this bottleneck has kept these super-efficient engines from widespread commercial use, where they could go a long way in reducing pollutants, greenhouse gas emissions, and fuel prices. Professor Van Carey is working with Dibble on these designs, developing his vision of vehicles that could interact through wireless sensors with an "intelligent gas station," telling cars when they needed more air pressure in their tires, when their catalytic converter is misbehaving, or whether it is time for an oil change. The second story below focuses on the work of Carlos Coimbra at UC Merced. Professor Coimbra and his collaborators are looking for an efficient way to make short-term predictions of the direct solar irradiance available to solar concentrator collectors on any given day. While concentrator collectors present a golden opportunity for clean and affordable energy production in California, they cannot be exploited until utilities can predict with confidence how much direct sunlight they are likely to get on any given day. Coimbra's innovative approach to solving that problem could pay off in energy dividends not only for California but for the entire nation and the world. There will soon be many more exciting fuel-, energy-, and environment-related things to report on. The "CITRIS-Copenhagen Research Conference on Climate and Energy: Finding the Way to Stabilization Through Innovation" is meeting in Denmark on June 18 and 19. This important conference will bring some of the world's top scientists and engineers together with industry and government leaders to discuss the future of energy production, distribution, and conservation. Stay tuned for more information from this wonderful upcoming event: http://www.c-grace.org/ Finally, I want to mention that CITRIS has just signed a contract with the City of San Francisco for an innovative and important security camera project. I am especially excited by this three-way project, which employs CITRIS expertise in technology, law, and sociology. It combines the technological challenge of deploying the surveillance cameras in big public spaces, the legal ramifications of placing them there, and the sociological implications of how people will respond to their presence. I want to thank our staff, particularly our development manager Travis Richardson, for stewarding this project through to funding. And I want to take this chance to wish Travis and his wife Jen a bon voyage as they leave CITRIS for southern California, where Jen is pursuing her dreams in the legal profession and Travis his as a Hollywood screenwriter! Keep up the good work! Professor Paul K. Wright Acting Director, Center for Information Technology Research in the Interest of Society
CITRIS Awards, Honors, & News
C-GRACE International Meeting in Copenhagen
On June 18-19, CITRIS is co-hosting the international C-GRACE conference on innovation in climate and energy. C-GRACE’s primary objective is to contribute towards making the 2009 U.N. Climate Summit a success by advising political decision-makers on solving the climate crisis while allowing for continued growth and prosperity.
Winners announced for Big Ideas contest
Six projects were awarded a total of $30K at this year's CITRIS Big Ideas contest, with the top two prizes going to healthcare-related issues. Congratulations to all of the students who entered. http://www.citris-uc.org/Big-idea-winners-2008
Ming Wu named Chief Scientist
Ming Wu has been appointed the new Chief Scientist for CITRIS at Berkeley. He is currently Professor of Electrical Engineering and Computer Sciences at Berkeley, and Co-Director of Berkeley Sensors and Actuators Center (BSAC). Ming brings to the CITRIS leadership a rich background in science and engineering. His expertise in optoelectronics and related topics will be incredibly useful to the mission of CITRIS going forward, especially as we place continued emphasis on communications platforms and various testbeds for experimentation and outreach. Energy Shock: Perspective by Dan Kammen UC Berkeley Professor Daniel Kammen has written a thought-provoking perspective on the energy crisis and the role of the C-GRACE meeting with CITRIS and the Copenhagen Climate Council. http://www.citris-uc.org/news/energy_shock_perspective_dan_kammen Seed Funding Successfully Launches Projects The CITRIS Seed Funding Program started more than a year ago as a way to kick-start research projects and centers on the four CITRIS campuses by awarding between $50,000–$75,000 for proposals that utilize information technology to solve large societal problems including healthcare, services, and intelligent infrastructures. The program has awarded approximately $2 million dollars towards research support for almost 30 projects and centers. http://www.citris-uc.org/news/seed_funding_successfully_launches_projects UCSC Computer Scientists Develop Solutions for Long-term Storage of Digital Data
As the world moves to digital storage for archival purposes, there is an increasing demand for reliable, low-power, cost-effective, easy-to-maintain storage that can still provide adequate performance for information retrieval and auditing purposes. Ethan Miller at the University of California, Santa Cruz has a new approach, called Pergamum, a distributed network of intelligent, disk-based, storage appliances that stores data reliably and energy-efficiently. Cell Phone as a Platform for Healthcare Awards from MSR CITRIS projects using cell phones as a healthcare platform at UC Berkeley and UC Santa Cruz are among the projects supported by a recent Microsoft Research initiative. http://www.citris-uc.org/news/cell_phone_platform_healthcare_awards_msr
UCSC to Lead Pioneering Study of Pumas in the Santa Cruz Mountains
Led by an interdisciplinary team of researchers at the University of California, Santa Cruz, and using innovative collars made at CITRIS, the project will shed light on the movement, range, physiology, and predatory habits of pumas. http://www.citris-uc.org/news/uc_santa_cruz_lead_pioneering_study_pumas_santa_cruz_mountains Low-cost Fuel Cell Project wins CET competition A group that wants to make a cheap fuel cell that can efficiently convert hydrocarbon fuel into electricity won this year's CET Cleantech Innovation Contest. http://cet.berkeley.edu/Connect/CleantechPrize.html Videos now online for Scientific Colloquium for Healthcare, Engineering and Medicine II On May 16, CITRIS held its second Scientific Colloquium for Healthcare, Engineering and Medicine (SCHEME) event at the UC Davis Medical Center. This highly interactive event featured panel discussions focused on themes in which clinicians and engineers can collaborate to solve some of the most challenging healthcare technology issues in such fields as microsurgical procedures, cardiovascular, and medical simulations with gaming and visualization. The videos for this event are now online at http://youtube.com/view_play_list?p=865A5E647BCED43B. http://www.citris-uc.org/SCHEMEII
CITRIS Headquarters Dedication, Feb. 27, 2009
On Feb. 27, 2009, CITRIS will mark the official opening of its new headquarters, Sutardja-Dai Hall, with a day of talks and celebration. http://www.citris-uc.org/HQdedication
Smart HCCI Cars: They’ll Talk to Themselves, and to the Pumpby Gordy Slack
Consumers all over the world are being squeezed by rising fuel costs. CITRIS researchers are developing engines that use less fuel and release less emissions than current engines.
HCCI engines, however, use 15 percent less fuel than gas engines and emit only 30 percent of the NOx of a typical diesel engine. Thus, they appear to combine the best of both engines. Except for one problem: temperature variations. In the words of UC Berkeley engineering post-doc and biofuel specialist Hunter Mack, “Temperature variations can make HCCI engines a nightmare on wheels.”
Smart fuel pumps are being developed that can communicate directly with the vehicle and determine if it needs a tuneup.
“Fuel does not usually have much brand appeal,” says Mack. “But these fuels would be mixed specifically for your car; the microbrews of gasoline.” The conversation between the car and the service station could go much further than the subject of fuel. Wireless sensors could also report to the station on the state of the car’s oil, coolant, brakes, air filter, tire pressure, and fan belts, says Carey. Such an instant and effortless diagnostic would keep cars running at their safest and most efficient. And best of all, these sensors would work for any vehicle with something worth talking to the gas station about, not just those with HCCIs. “Not long ago, when gas only cost people two dollars a gallon, the idea of tailoring your fuel to the car would have seemed over the top,” says Dibble. “But imagine a year from now when gas has continued to skyrocket in price,” he said. “If I tell you that with my HCCI engine and properly-tuned fuel I could increase your fuel economy by 20 percent, you are going to sit up and listen.”
Squeezing Through the Solar Bottleneck: Predicting Direct Solar Irradiance
by Gordy Slack
Solar concentrators could produce as much as 15 percent of all the energy consumed in California in the next 15 years.
But there is one frustrating obstacle to this promising scenario: our inability to predict reliably the amount of direct solar irradiance available to the state’s energy grid at least a day or two in advance. Without that, notes Coimbra, utility companies simply cannot risk relying on this highly productive breed of collectors to produce the energy that they need to deliver. Even a small oscillation—just 2 percent up or down in the energy grid—can cause the whole system to shut down, Coimbra says. Today, the California grid remains stable on the supply side because it is powered by very predictable fuel and hydroelectric sources. The only fluctuation is in demand: if there is a heat wave and everyone turns on their air conditioner at the same time, then there can be problems. But those demand-side fluctuations can be addressed by the reliable, albeit extreme measure of rolling blackouts. However, if the grid depends on a lot of its energy coming from solar concentrators on a given day, but the solar rays are unexpectedly blocked by aerosol or cloud cover, then the power supply can dip and take out the whole grid.
Professor Carlos Coimbra at UC Merced is working to predict solar radiation availability for energy use.
Direct Normal Irradiance (DNI) is the solar engineer’s term for the radiation that comes straight from the sun onto a given area. (“If you look at the sun through a paper towel tube, the rays hitting your eye are the DNI,” says Coimbra.) Much of the light we live by is not direct, but diffused, buffeted around by the atmosphere, and reflected off of the ground, buildings, and water. Although that diffused irradiation still contains energy that can be exploited by some solar technologies, it is of little use to concentrators, which rely mainly on DNI for their high efficiency. While meteorologists are able to predict on Monday what overall sunlight— global solar irradiance (GSI)—will be available on Tuesday, they are not able to predict DNI because of the many variables that can influence it. Cloud cover has the biggest impact on DNI, but aerosol content, water vapor, carbon dioxide, and ozone all diffuse DNI too. Last year, CITRIS gave Coimbra $75,000 to run a one-year proof-of-concept project called the Solar Irradiance Mapping Initiative (SIMI). The project is a collaboration between professors Coimbra and Qinghua Guo at Merced and Jean-Pierre Deplanque at UC Davis. The researchers will set up two experimental solar stations, one on each campus, that are equipped with highly-sensitive instruments that can independently measure DNI, GSI, and the total combination of the two (called local global irradiance.) The solar data collected at those ground stations will be correlated with several kinds of satellite image data—on weather, aerosol and ozone content in the atmosphere, and other variables—as well as ground radar information about local atmospheric conditions. Using an approach to complex statistical associations called genetic algorithms, Coimbra will process all of that data into an increasingly accurate and predictive model. Genetic algorithms borrow concepts from the biological processes of mutation and natural selection to “evolve” mathematical “genes” that “constantly evolve and improve and adapt to different conditions,” says Coimbra. “It is a perfect application for a highly stochastic situation like this.” If the Davis and Merced ground observatories generate the kinds of associations Coimbra expects them to, they will serve as a model for a much wider network of ground stations that could be distributed across the state, eventually creating a kind of real-time and short-term predictive geographical information system (GIS) that maps for solar irradiance. The ground stations will be used to benchmark the models developed for analyzing geo-stationary satellite and radar images, which in turn will map DNI availability throughout the state. Guo is an expert in GIS. At first, the information provided by such a system would be a key tool for both utilities and for policy makers trying to set up rational and reliable networks of sustainable energy sources that rely on solar irradiance, including concentrator technologies and, perhaps, wind turbines too. “Wind is just another kind of solar energy,” says Coimbra.
Using an approach called genetic algorithms, Carlos Coimbra and colleagues will process a variety of data into an increasingly accurate and predictive model for how much solar radiation the panels can expect to receive.
Armed with the ability to forecast accurately, utility companies and policy makers will be able to invest confidently in California’s abundant solar energy opportunities, says Coimbra. And as the growing economic and environmental price of fossil fuels makes prices for those clean and renewable energies more and more competitive, the time is ripe for these technologies. “California’s Central Valley may be the best place to have solar power in the U.S. Theoretically, we could build 300-megawatt power plants all over the Valley. But no one is going to support a high percentage of the grid being solar until these short-term predictions can be made on a reliable and systematic basis,” says Coimbra. “It is not too often a researcher has the opportunity to remove a major bottleneck to an important viable technology. Concentrator technology is available, but it is not yet completely viable…not without the piece that we are trying to provide here. That, for me, is a huge motivation,” says Coimbra.
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